Breaking Down the French Open Field
The odds are out for the French Open men’s winner. It’s not a surprise that Nadal is the even money favorite. Rounding out the field is Djokovic (9-4), Thiem (11-2), Tsitsipas (18-1) and Federer at (20-1). This is no surprise of course, as these guys have been the most consistent of the bunch throughout the clay court swing. Tsitsipas is the one that has impressed me the most out of the bunch, reaching the finals at Madrid after taking out Nadal and also reaching the semis in Italy, and losing to Nadal. He also won the smaller tier tournament at Estoril.
The interesting thing is that some experts are not picking Nadal to win the tournament. To me this is a bit confounding. He has still been the most consistent player this clay court season, making the semis of Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Madrid. And of course, winning the Italian Open. I wouldn’t bet against the 11-time French Open winner.
While Thiem looked good, I don’t think he’s as big a favorite as the others. Sure, he won Barcelona, however, he fell flat in the bigger tournaments such as Monte Carlo, Madrid and Rome. Although, he did play well against Djokovic in Madrid. Still, as good as Thiem is, it’s going to be tough for him to get trhough the Nadal’s and Djokovic’s of the world.
In terms of Roger Federer, forget it. This is not his tournament at this stage of his career. He’ll have a great chance at Wimbledon and the US Open though!
But enough of the favorites, what about the odds outsiders? Below is the rest of the field, and out of those, if I was to pick a few dark horses, I’d say look for Fabio Fognini, who won Monte Carlo, and Gael Monfils who was playing really well before his injury. As for Alexander Zverev, I just don’t think he can put together multiple five set wins to win a major yet. It’s interesting how Tsitsipas has now positioned himself as the youngster to beat.
Alexander Zverev 25-1
Stan Wawrinka 40-1
Daniil Medvedev 40-1
Fabio Fognini 40-1
Diego Schwartzman 60-1
Felix Auger-Aliassime +6000
Gael Monfils 60-1
Kei Nishikori 60-1
Juan Martin Del Potro 60-1