The ATP Tour Finals winner will be decided between Daniil Medvedev and Dominic Thiem.

In the first semifinal match Dominic Thiem and Novak Djokovic treated us to three outstanding sets of tennis that included two tie-break sets. As usual, it was incredibly difficult to put Djokovic away. Djokovic was able to save four match points in the second set tie break before ultimately taking that tie break and forcing a third set. In the third set, Thiem would not be rattled by Djokovic, as both players proceeded to play flawless tennis into the third set tie-break. Djokovic then ran off with the first four points of the third set tie-break before Thiem regrouped, and took seven of the next eight points, and winning the match in stunning fashion.

In the second semifinal, Nadal won the first set easily against Medvedev and served for the match in the second set before Medvedev awoke from the Spaniards’ spell. Medvedev proceeded to take it to a tie-break and win the second set while Nadal looked on in disappointment. In the third set, Medvedev continued to put the pressure on Nadal, slowly breaking down his strokes. Ultimately, Medvedev broke Nadal in the seventh game, and cruised to victory, while exorcising his demons of his two losses against Nadal at the US Open and ATP Finals in 2019.

Medvedev will now have to deal with Dominic Thiem, whom will be coming in as the favorite in this final. Dominic Thiem has the head-to-head edge over Medvedev, winning three of four meetings. Most recently, they met in the semis of the US Open, where Thiem won in straight sets. That semifinal included two tie breaks. Expect another couple of tie breaks in this final, with Thiem winning them. Thiem will be too tough for Medvedev and will be able to hit through Medvedev, much like their previous meetings. Medvedev will have a chance if he’s able to absorb Thiem’s power from both sides. Given how well Thiem is playing, that will be a tough task. Thiem will capture his first ATP Finals trophy in three sets.

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